In the next few years, one of the biggest challenges faced by the domestic Irish economy will be what to do with the tens of thousands of people who are in mortgage arrears now, and the tens of thousands of people who will get into difficulties, but have yet to realise it. So when trying to quantify the problem, we need to have a stab at assessing the ‘known knowns’ as well as the ‘known unknowns’.
The known knowns are rising all the time. Latest Central Bank figures reveal that 128,000 mortgages are in arrears. This figure has been rising rapidly over the past few years, and is likely to keep rising as incomes fall, taxes rise and unemployment continues to grind slowly upwards. The domestic economy, where most of us work and live, is not getting any better – indeed, one of the biggest problems is the debt overhang itself, which is dragging investment and savings.
The picture at the moment shows that 128,416 – or 16.8 per cent – of all private residential mortgages are in arrears. Of those, 45,165 (5.9 per cent) of all private residential mortgages are in arrears of less than 90 days. Some 17,553 (2.35 per cent) are in arrears of between 90 days and 180 days, and 65,698 (8.6 per cent) are in arrears of more than 180 days. The total number of residential mortgages stands at 761,533, so nearly 17 per cent are in arrears already. These are the known knowns……………………
- Landlords mortgage arrears decrease (simplelandlordsinsurance.com)
- Landlords see rise in arrears (gateway-homes.co.uk)
- Buy-to-lets in arrears now on banks’ hit list (independent.ie)
- Moody’s: Debt write-down only solution to mortgage crisis (newstalk.ie)
- 50,000 buy-to-let mortgages late on payments (independent.ie)